NFL - Week 4 Predictions

Ringer's Record
Last Week ATS: 8-8
Last Week SU: 11-5

Season ATS: 27-20-1
Season SU: 37-11

Carolina (+7.5) at Chicago
Chicago impressed everyone with their Week 1 dominance of Atlanta, but since has lost 2 straight to drop below .500. On the other end, Cam Newton had his worst game as a pro thus far, but got his first win. Chicago will be out for blood in this one, and I don;t think Newton can handle it.

Prediction - Chicago 23 Carolina 14

Buffalo (-3.5) at Cincinnati
Is Buffalo for real? It sure looked like it when they knocked off New England last week. They are the only undefeated team left in the AFC. They travel to Cincinnati to take on a Bengals squad that has lost 2 in a row. The Bills must knock off a team with inferior talent to prove they belong. They will but it will be close.

Prediction - Buffalo 20 Cincinnati 17

Tennessee (+1.5) at Cleveland
One of these teams will get to 3-1 on Sunday. Cleveland looked bad offensively last week, but came to life on the final drive of the game to move to 2-1 for the first time since 2002. Tennesse hasn't gotten much out of Chris Johnson, but has used a resurgent Matt Hasselbeck and a stout D to get to this point. This game should come down to the wire. Give me the Browns at home.

Prediction - Cleveland 21 Tennessee 19

Detroit (+1.5) at Dallas
I have doubted Detroit all season, but they are making believers out of me. I'm still skeptical of whether they can win on the road on a consistent basis. They are 2-0 away from home to this point. Dallas is so banged up and they had a short week. There's too many things going against them.

Prediction - Detroit 20 Dallas 17

Pittsburgh (+4.5) at Houston
If Houston wants to look at itself as legitimate contenders this is a game they need to win. Pittsburgh has not looked like its normal self to this point in the year. This game will go a long way in proving which one of these teams is in it for the long run. Until the Texans can prove themselves, I have to go with Pittsburgh.

Prediction - Pittsburgh 24 Houston 19

New Orleans (-7.5) at Jacksonville
Do you think the Jags wish they wouldn't have cut David Garrard? Luke McCown looked awful in his 2 starts, and they were forced to throw Blaine Gabbert into the fire. Now they get my pick to win the Super Bowl, New Orleans. Drew Brees will light them up and the Jags will have no answer.

Prediction - New Orleans 28 Jacksonville 14

Minnesota (-2.5) at Kansas City
The Vikings are road favorites here despite being 0-3. The good news for them is that Kansas City is 0-3 as well. The Chiefs have been decimated by injuries. The Vikings have been decimated by 2nd Half meltdowns. Call it a hunch, but I think Minnesota finds a way to hold on to this one.

Prediction - Minnesota 23 Kansas City 20

San Francisco (+7.5) at Philadelphia
There are a few things favoring the Dream team this week. The 49ers spent the week in Ohio since they didn't want to travel from Cincy back to San Francisco back to the East Coast. That will surely throw off their regular routine. Philly hasn't looked anything like the team many thought they would, but there is still plenty of talent to beat the 49ers. It will be close though.

Prediction - Philadelphia 24 San Francisco 20

Washington (-1.5) at St. Louis
The Redskins have looked far better than I thought they would this year, and the Rams have looked far worse than I thought they would. With that said, the Rams are due. Washington is coming off a short week and staying on the road. Sam Bradford is too good to start this season 0-4.

Prediction - St. Louis 23 Washington 20

NY Giants (-1.5) at Arizona
The Kevin Kolb project hasn't gone as well as had hoped in the Land of the Sun. This would be a big opportunity to turn that around. The Giants have been playing well though. After a tough first week, they have found their groove. They have been able to off set their injuries, and I expect that to continue.

Prediction - NY Giants 27 Arizona 24

Atlanta (-5.5) at Seattle
Atlanta has not been as good as many thought to this point. Mike Smith has got to get back to running the ball. Luckily for them they play a lousy Seattle team this week. The Falcons struggle when they travel cross country, but the talent difference is enough to get them back to .500.

Prediction - Atlanta 28 Seattle 20

Denver (+13.5) at Green Bay
This is the biggest spread of the week. The defending champs have stormed out to a 3-0 start and don't look as if they have many deficiencies. Denver has been who we thought they were. That won't be enough to win this game, but it should be enough to cover the large spread.

Prediction - Green Bay 27 Denver 17

New England (-5.5) at Oakland
The Patriots were shocked by Buffalo last week. The team that many thought were clearly the league's best, coughed up a 21-0 lead to the Bills. Meanwhile, Oakland handed the Jets their first loss. Oakland will hand the ball off to Darren McFadden and look to do damage on the ground. Tom Brady will be too much to handle though, as the Patriots win a tight one.

Prediction - New England 28 Oakland 24

Miami (+9.5) at San Diego
Rumor has it that the Dolphins' coach Tony Sparano could be out with a loss this week. I see a loss a coming as they travel to the opposite coast to take on the Chargers. San Diego was lethargic in a win over Kansas City, but Phillip Rivers should get this team to 3-1.

Prediction - San Diego 27 Miami 23

NY Jets (+4.5) at Baltimore
This one should be a slug fest. Two of the league's top defensive squads square off in a Sunday Night showdown. Baltimore has looked dominant in their two wins this year. The Jets have been up and down. Look for a hard hitting matchup,but Baltimore to prevail on their home field.

Prediction - Baltimore 24 NY Jets 17

Indianapolis (+9.5) at Tampa Bay
The Colts showed some grit last week as they nearly knocked off the Steelers. Tampa Bay continues to show that they are ahead of schedule as Josh Freeman lead them to another victory. The Bucs have a tendency to play close games so expect another. Tampa Bay wins at home though.

Prediction - Tampa Bay 27 Indianapolis 19