Wednesday, October 12, 2011

NCAA Football - Week 7 Predictions

Ringer's Record
Last Week ATS: 10-10
Last Week SU: 16-4

Season ATS: 68-47 (59%)
Season SU: 102-20 84%

1 Oklahoma (-34.5) at Kansas
Oklahoma went into Dallas and dominated the Red River Rivalry. The Sooners beat up on Texas to the tune of a 55-17 victory. They maintained their status in college football's version of "The Big 3" along with LSU and Alabama. This week they travel to Lawrence to take on a Kansas team that gave up 70 points to Oklahoma St. last week. Expect big numbers from the Sooners as well.

Prediction - Oklahoma 48 Kansas 10

2 Alabama (-25.5) at Ole Miss
The Crimson Tide continues to roll. They shut out Vandy last week, as the defense continued to look downright nasty. The SEC slate stays soft this week as they get Ole Miss. The Rebels had an extra week to prepare for 'Bama, but it won't matter. This defense will not give up many points and Trent Richardson will continue to increase his production.

Prediction - Alabama 42 Ole Miss 13

3 LSU (-15.5) at Tennessee
This appeared to be one of the games on LSU's schedule that could potentially give them some trouble. Going to Knoxville to take on a talented Vols' team. The task suddenly doesn't seem as tough. Tennessee lost starting QB Tyler Bray last week. And we all saw what LSU did to Florida's backup QB in a 41-11 drubbing. I expect to see much of the same this week.

Prediction - LSU 35 Tennessee 14

4 Boise St. (-32.5) at Colorado St.
Boise St. plays its first ever conference game in the Mountain West. Colorado St. welcomes the Broncos to Fort Collins. Boise continued their dominance of teams last week as they embarrassed Fresno St. 57-7. Kellen Moore is conducting another Heisman campaign, Doug Martin is finally starting to run the ball, and the defense looks as good as ever. Boise should treat the Mountain West a lot like they have the WAC over the years.

Prediction - Boise St. 48 Colorado St. 13

5 Stanford (-21.5) at Washington St.
Stanford is a 20+ point favorite every week, and every week they cover the spread. They did it again last week when they beat up on a lowly Colorado squad 48-7. This week they travel to Pullman to take on Washington St. as, you guessed it, a 20+ point favorite. I've ridden this Stanford team every week so far. I see no reason to jump off that train.

Prediction - Stanford 45 Washington St. 20

Indiana (+39.5) at 6 Wisconsin
Last year Wisconsin put up 83 points at Indiana. This year they get the Hoosiers in Madison, and have added a Heisman-caliber talent at QB in Russell Wilson. Could the Badgers top the century mark? It's doubtful, but they will score a lot. This team is rested and coming off an uplifting win over Nebraska. Indiana doesn't stand a chance.

Prediction - Wisconsin 55 Indiana 13

7 Oklahoma St. (-7.5) at 18 Texas
This is definitely a game that the Pokes would lose in year's past. Is this year's team different? We will see. This offense is as explosive as any in the country, with the duo of Brandon Weeden throwing to Justin Blackmon. They put up 70 points last week. Meanwhile Texas look to be a bit fraudulent as they were smoke by their rival, Oklahoma, 55-17. The Longhorns are improved over last year but I don;t think they are ready for the big time. Oklahoma St. finally is.

Prediction - Oklahoma St. 38 Texas 28

19 Arizona St. (+15.5) at 8 Oregon
Oregon's 2010 Heisman finalist, RB LaMichael James, went down with a dislocated elbow in a 43-15 victory over Cal. This will certainly have an affect on the Ducks. They have very talented RBs to fill the hole in Kenjon Barner and DeAnthony Thomas, but it won;t be the same. Especially because they face a tough Arizona St. squad with Vontaze Burfict at LB. Burfict will have an impact on this game and keep the Sun Devils in it. Oregon will win a close on though.

Prediction - Oregon 33 Arizona St. 27

9 Clemson (-7.5) at Maryland
Clemson is continuing to take care of business, and moved to 6-0 with a 22-point win over Boston College. This week they head to Maryland to take on the Terps. Unfortunately for Maryland, most of their headlines have been about their crazy uniforms from week-to-week instead of their play on the field. They hung with Georgia Tech but struggled offensively. Clemson won't struggle offensively and will walk away with a W.

Prediction - Clemson 31 Maryland 20

10 Michigan (+3.5) at 21 Michigan St.
Michigan St. finally got sick of being Michigan's "little brothers" as Mike Hart referred to them as a few years back. Since then, Sparty has reeled off 3 straight against the hated Wolverines. The two teams renew their rivalry in East Lansing on Saturday. Michigan is looking to prove that they are for real after a 6-0 start. Michigan St. wants to continue their reemergence following an early season loss at Notre Dame. I'll take Sparty to make it 4 in a row.

Prediction - Michigan St. 33 Michigan 30

12 Georgia Tech (-7.5) at Virginia
Georgia Tech is off to one of their finest starts in school history. Virginia is off to one of their better starts in recent years, albeit just 3-2. The two meet in Charlottesville this weekend. The Rambling Wreck has been lethal on offense. They have rushed over all of their opponents and sprinkled in the pass in some timely situations. Does Virginia have enough to stop them? I don't think so.

Prediction - Georgia Tech 30 Virginia 14

Ohio St. (+3.5) at 13 Illinois
Illinois is one of the most underrated teams in the country. They continue to fly under the radar and that is just fine with Ron Zook's team. The Fighting Illini appear to have a better nucleus than the team they went to the Rose Bowl in 2007. They welcome in the Buckeyes to Champagne this week. Ohio St. is in shambles. After an embarrassing offensive performance 2 weeks ago versus Michigan St., they blew a 27-6 lead last week to lose to Nebraska. I just don;t see the Buckeyes bouncing back in this one.

Prediction - Illinois 26 Ohio St. 20

16 South Carolina (-3.5) at Mississippi St.
South Carolina had enough of QB Stephen Garcia. A week after benching him in favor of Connor Shaw, he was released from the team. Shaw knows he has the reins 100% now. He looked nice in 54-3 romp of Kentucky last week. The test should be tougher this week. South Carolina heads to Strakville to take on an up and down Mississippi St. team. I see South Carolina winning a close battle here.

Prediction - South Carolina 27 Mississippi St. 24

17 Virginia Tech (-7.5) at Wake Forest
The Hokies are in Winson-Salem to take on Wake Forest who has started 3-0 in the ACC for st time in school history. In order to get back to a BCS bowl like they did in 2006, they will need to get past Virginia Tech who still will be heard from in the ACC race. Va Tech has not been overly impressive, but Frank Beamer' squad usually finds a way to win. Saturday will have a similar feeling.

Prediction - Virginia Tech 31 Wake Forest 24

20 Kansas St. (+3.5) at Texas Tech
K-State continues to get no love despite their 5-0 start. The Wildcats are the lowest ranked undefeated team that hails from a BCS conference. And after win over Miami, Baylor, and Missouri, they are still an underdog versus Texas Tech. Texas Tech feels a little under appreciated as well. The winner of this one should start to earn a little more respect.

Prediction - Kansas St. 30 Texas Tech 28

23 Baylor (+9.5) at 22 Texas A&M
Baylor and their Heisman hopeful RG3 storm into College Station looking for another Heisman-like performance. They will need it against A&M. The Aggies have been in 3 consecutive shootouts, going 1-2 in those games. This should be another shootout. As much as I love what RG3 is doing, I have to give A&M the advantage with the 12th Man behind them.

Prediction - Texas A&M 37 Baylor 35

25 Florida (-1.5) at 24 Auburn
I'm having a hard time understanding how Florida is the favorite here. Both of these teams were shellacked last week. Florida's coming in a 41-11 loss at LSU, while Auburn lost 38-14 at Arkansas. Auburn has a knack for winning close games, and that's exactly what this one should be. Look for Michael Dyer to establish the run and for Gus Malzahn's offense to outshine Charlie Weis's.

Prediction - Auburn 27 Florida 22

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