The all-star break has past, and the boys of summer are heating up. There are some important story lines coming down the stretch - most notably Chris Davis's pursuit of Roger Maris (I'm still not sure if we should acknowledge the 73 HR Barry Bonds hit in a season), and the Pittsburgh Pirates bid to end 21 years of futility. The Pirates have been one of the biggest surprises baseball. If the playoffs were to start today, I would have 5 of 10 correct from my preseason picks (Detroit, Texas, Atlanta, St. Louis, and Cincinnati). My World Series pick, the Angels, are battling just to get to .500. With that said, I have no choice but to jump ship. My new pick is the St. Louis Cardinals. They have the most solid and consistent roster in baseball. Below is how I see the 2013 season finishing up based on current standings, preseason projections, and simulations of the rest of the season.
AL East
Boston 91-71
Tampa Bay 89-73
NY Yankees 88-74
Baltimore 86-76
Toronto 82-80
AL Central
Detroit 90-72
Cleveland 82-80
Kansas City 78-84
Chicago Sox 71-91
Minnesota 66-96
AL West
Texas 92-70
Oakland 89-73
LA Angels 86-76
Seattle 73-89
Houston 57-105
NL East
Atlanta 93-69
Washington 86-76
Philadelphia 82-80
NY Mets 72-90
Miami 62-100
NL Central
St. Louis 95-67
Cincinnati 91-71
Pittsburgh 87-75
Milwaukee 72-90
Chicago Cubs 71-91
NL West
Arizona 85-77
Los Angeles 84-78
San Francisco 81-81
Colorado 75-87
San Diego 70-92
AL Wild Card
Tampa Bay over Oakland
NL Wild Card
Cincinnati over Pittsburgh
ALDS
Texas over Tampa Bay 3-1
Detroit over Boston 3-2
NLDS
St. Louis over Cincinnati 3-1
Atlanta over Arizona 3-0
ALCS
Detroit over Texas 4-2
NLCS
St. Louis over Atlanta 4-2
World Series
St. Louis over Detroit 4-2
Mid-Season Awards
AL MVP - Miguel Cabrera, Det
AL Cy Young - Max Scherzer, Det
NL MVP - Paul Goldschmidt, Arz
NL Cy Young - Clayton Kershaw, LAD
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