Wednesday, August 28, 2013

NCAA Football - Week 1 Predictions

The time has finally come! The college football season has arrived. The season will officially begin tomorrow night. Here is a look at how I expect Week 1 to go down. (The rankings are based off of the AP Poll, the initial Ringer Poll will be revealed next week)

*Indicates the home team
**Indicates a neutral field

**1 Alabama over Virginia Tech 31-14
Bama -19.5

*2 Ohio State over Buffalo 41-14
OSU -35

*3 Oregon over Nicholls State 56-7
Ore -59

5 Georgia over *8 Clemson 28-26
UGA -1.5

*6 South Carolina over North Carolina 35-23
SC -13.5

*7 Texas A&M over Rice 41-20
TAM -26.5

*9 Louisville over Ohio 42-24
Lou - 20.5

*10 Florida over Toledo 37-17
Fla -23.5

11 Florida State over *Pittsburgh 28-17
FSU -10

**12 LSU over 20 TCU 21-20
LSU -4.5

**13 Oklahoma State over Mississippi State 35-27
OKSU -12.5

*14 Notre Dame over Temple 27-7
ND -29

*15 Texas over New Mexico State 40-17
Tex -42

*16 Oklahoma over UL-Monroe 41-24
Okla -22

*17 Michigan over Central Michigan 41-21
Mich -31.5

*18 Nebraska over Wyoming 38-20
Neb -29

19 Boise State over *Washington 29-24
Wash -3.5

*21 UCLA over Nevada 42-24
UCLA -20.5

22 Northwestern over *Cal 31-20
NW -5.5

*23 Wisconsin over UMass 37-14
Wis -44.5

24 USC over *Hawaii 34-13
USC -21.5

*25 Oregon State over Eastern Washington 49-10
ORST -27



Tuesday, August 27, 2013

2013 Heisman Trophy Watch List

Let the Heisman watch begin. It is inevitable that some of these young men will punch their ticket to New York City in December. Just like it is inevitable that some of them won't live up to the hype. But all of them had the numbers in 2012, and the skills to warrant Heisman consideration as we head into the 2013 campaign. Here is a look at the stars that I expect to shine the brightest during the 2013 college football season.

1. Braxton Miller  QB/Ohio State

Miller is the reigning Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year, and my pick to win it again in 2013. He was dynamic in 2012 and figures to be even better this year. If the Buckeyes go undefeated as I've predicted, there is no doubt that Miller will receive an invite to NYC.

2. Jadaveon Clowney  DE/South Carolina

No strictly defensive player has ever taken home the Heisman Trophy. That could change this year. The hype around Clowney already existed, but the YouTube sensation took it to another level when he completely blew up Vincent Smith in the 2013 Outback Bowl. If he lives up to the unbelievable hype this year, he will rewrite history.

3. Marcus Mariota  QB/Oregon

Mariota isn't even the best playmaker on Oregon's offense. But he is what makes the Ducks click. He is a dual threat and is the leader on one of the nation's most potent offenses. If Oregon continues to ring up points like in year's past, there could certainly be a seat for Mariota at the Heisman ceremony.

4. Teddy Bridgewater  QB/Louisville

Bridgewater had a breakout season in 2012. His Sugar Bowl performance against the vaunted Florida defense is what catapulted him to super stardom. He may be the best QB in the country, which often time leads to striking the Heisman pose. But Louisville's schedule is so weak I think they need to run the table to get Bridgewater the support.

5. Tajh Boyd  QB/Clemson

Clemson has been underachievers over the years. I kind of expect the same this year. That doesn't mean that Tajh Boyd won't put up video game type numbers though. I see him being the Geno Smith of the 2013 season, only Clemson will be much better than West Virginia was. That should be enough to earn Boyd a trip to the Big Apple.

The next 5:

6. Lache Seastrunk  RB/Baylor

I don't see Baylor being good enough to have a Heisman finalist, but Seastrunk will put up big numbers.

7. Todd Gurley  RB/Georgia

I think that Gurley is the best RB in the country, but he still has to share the load with Keith Marshall.

8. Marquise Lee  WR/USC

No WR in the country compares to Lee. He is a one-man highlight reel.

9. Johnny Manziel  QB/Texas A&M

If his eligibility concerns disappear, the reigning Heisman winner will move up this list.

10. De'Anthony Thomas  RB-WR/Oregon

Thomas is the most exciting player in the country, unfortunately he doesn't get enough touches.

Others to Watch:

Taylor Martinez  QB/Nebraska
TJ Yeldon  RB/Alabama
Aaron Murray  QB/Georgia
Derek Carr  QB/Fresno State
Jordan Lynch  QB/Northern Illinois
 

2013 NCAA Football Bowl Projections

As we begin to kickoff another college football season, we look forward to the end of the season and all of the bowl mania that will ensue. We certainly don't want to rush through the season, but it's always fun to look at potential bowl matchups. Our bowl projections have been finalized. The projections are based off of the conference predictions posted on Monday.

The SEC's dominance continued last season; more specifically Alabama's. The SEC has now won an astonishing 7 consecutive BCS championships. Alabama has won 3, Florida has won 2, and LSU and Auburn have each chipped in a title. Alabama is going for an unprecedented third consecutive title. The Crimson Tide are favored to do it again, despite losing a ton of talent to the NFL. AJ McCarron, TJ Yeldon, and Amari Cooper return to the skill positions to provide explosiveness to the offense. CJ Mosley leads a defense that is perennially one of the top units in the nation.  Are there any teams from another conference that can end their bid for a 3-peat? Many think that Ohio State has the best chance. The Buckeyes finished the season undefeated in 2012, but due to a bowl ban had no chance to win the BCS title. Most of Urban Meyer's key players return, and he added a loaded freshmen class. Aside from Ohio State, Oregon, Stanford, and a hand full of other SEC teams figure to play a role in who plays for the crystal football in Pasadena.

Last year I made the mistake of not picking an SEC team to play in the BCS National Championship Game. I won't make that mistake again. After all, the SEC Championship has become a de facto National Semifinal. In fact I am not going out on much of a limb at all this year. I like Alabama to win the SEC and play in their 4th title game in 5 years. Their opponent will be the Ohio State Buckeyes. I know it is unlikely that the two teams that begin the season ranked #1 and #2 will end up that way, but these teams have the most talent from top to bottom and have manageable schedules.

I have Alabama and Ohio State battling it out in Pasadena on January 6th with a national title up for grabs. Who do I have winning it all? Haven't you seen this story play out before? Ohio State can't compete with the SEC. Not even with Urban Meyer on the sideline. At least not this year. I think Alabama wins a third straight national championship and keeps themselves and the SEC at the top of the college football mountain.

Here is a look at projections for all of the 2013-2014 bowl games (Projected Rankings listed).

December 21
Gildan New Mexico Bowl - San Jose State vs. Toledo
Las Vegas Bowl - 16 Boise State vs. 22 Oregon State
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Fresno State vs. Ohio
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl - Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

December 23
Beef O'Brady's Bowl - Wake Forest vs. Louisiana Tech

December 24
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl - Marshall vs. Utah State

December 26
Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl - Northern Illinois vs. Minnesota
San Diego CU Poinsettia Bowl - San Diego State vs. UTEP

December 27
Military Bowl - Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina
Texas Bowl - TCU vs. Iowa
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl - BYU vs. Washington

December 28
New Era Pinstripe Bowl - Baylor vs. UConn
Belk Bowl - 18 North Carolina vs. Rutgers
Russell Athletic Bowl - Miami vs. Cincinnati
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl - 25 Northwestern vs. Texas Tech

December 30
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl - Navy vs. Air Force
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl - Vanderbilt vs. Georgia Tech
Valero Alamo Bowl - Oklahoma State vs. UCLA
Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl - 21 USC vs. 24 Kansas State

December 31
AdvoCare V100 Bowl - NC State vs. Mississippi State
Hyundai Sun Bowl - 23 Virginia Tech vs. Arizona
AutoZone Liberty Bowl - Tulsa vs. Ole Miss
Chick-fil-A Bowl - 17 Clemson vs. Tennessee

January 1
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl - 15 LSU vs. Michigan State
Heart of Dallas Bowl - Rice vs. Wyoming
Capital One Bowl - 11 South Carolina vs. 19 Nebraska
Outback Bowl - 12 Georgia vs. 20 Wisconsin
Rose Bowl Game - 3 Oregon vs. 9 Michigan
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl - 5 Texas vs. 6 Stanford

January 2
Allstate Sugar Bowl - 4 Florida vs. 7 Louisville

January 3
AT&T Cotton Bowl - 10 Texas A&M vs. 13 Oklahoma
Discover Orange Bowl - 8 Florida State vs. 14 Notre Dame

January 4
BBVA Compass Bowl - UCF vs. Missouri

January 5
Godaddy Bowl - Ball State vs. UL-Lafayette

January 6
BCS National Championship Game - 1 Alabama vs. 2 Ohio State

Monday, August 26, 2013

2013 NCAA Football Predictions

ACC
Atlantic
1. Florida State (11-2, 7-1)
2. Clemson (9-3, 7-1)
3. NC State (7-5, 3-5)
4. Wake Forest (6-6, 3-5)
5. Maryland (5-7, 2-6)
6. Syracuse (4-8, 2-6)
7. Boston College (4-8, 1-7)
Coastal
1. North Carolina (10-3, 7-1)
2. Virginia Tech (9-3, 6-2)
3. Miami (8-4, 5-3)
4. Georgia Tech (8-4, 5-3)
5. Pittsburgh (6-6, 3-5)
6. Virginia (5-7, 3-5)
7. Duke (5-7, 2-6)

ACC Championship - Florida State over North Carolina

Offensive POY - Tajh Boyd  QB/Clemson
Defensive POY - Christian Jones  LB/Florida State
Game of the Year - 10/19, Florida State at Clemson

American
1. Louisville (11-1, 7-1)
2. Rutgers (9-3, 6-2)
3. Cincinnati (9-3, 5-3)
4. UCF (7-5, 5-3)
5. UConn (7-5, 5-3)
6. Houston (5-7, 3-5)
7. South Florida (5-7, 3-5)
8. SMU (4-8, 3-5)
9. Memphis (5-7, 2-6)
10. Temple (4-8, 1-7)

Offensive POY - Teddy Bridgewater  QB/Louisville
Defensive POY - Preston Brown  LB/Louisville
Game of the Year - 10/10, Rutgers at Louisville

Big 12
1. Texas (11-1, 8-1)
2. Oklahoma (9-3, 7-2)
3. Kansas State (9-3, 6-3)
4. Oklahoma State (8-4, 5-4)
5. Texas Tech (8-4, 5-4)
6. TCU (7-5, 5-4)
7. Baylor (7-5, 4-5)
8. Kansas (5-7, 3-6)
9. West Virginia (5-7, 2-7)
10. Iowa State (3-9, 0-9)

Offensive POY - Lache Seastrunk  RB/Baylor
Defensive POY - Jackson Jeffcoat  DE/Texas
Game of the Year - 10/12, Texas vs Oklahoma @ Dallas

Big 10
Leaders
1. Ohio State (13-0, 8-0)
2. Wisconsin (9-3, 5-3)
3. Penn State (9-3, 5-3)
4. Indiana (5-7, 2-6)
5. Illinois (4-8, 2-6)
6. Purdue (3-9, 1-7)
Legends
1. Michigan (10-3, 6-2)
2. Nebraska (9-3, 5-3)
3. Northwestern (9-3, 5-3)
4. Michigan State (7-5, 4-4)
5. Iowa (6-6, 4-4)
6. Minnesota (6-6, 2-6)

Big 10 Championship - Ohio State over Michigan

Offensive POY - Braxton Miller  QB/Ohio State
Defensive POY - Ryan Shazier  LB/Ohio State
Game of the Year - 11/30, Ohio State at Michigan

Pac-12
North
1. Oregon (12-1, 8-1)
2. Stanford (10-2, 7-2)
3. Oregon State (9-3, 6-3)
4. Washington (7-5, 4-5)
5. Washington State (5-7, 3-6)
6. Cal (3-9, 2-7)
South
1. USC (9-4, 6-3)
2. UCLA (8-4, 6-3)
3. Arizona (7-5, 4-5)
4. Arizona State (5-7, 4-5)
5. Utah (5-7, 3-6)
6. Colorado (3-9, 1-8)

Pac-12 Championship - Oregon over USC

Offensive POY - Marcus Mariota  QB/Oregon
Defensive POY - Ed Reynolds  S/Stanford
Game of the Year - 11/7, Oregon at Stanford

SEC
East
1. Florida (11-2, 7-1)
2. South Carolina (9-3, 5-3)
3. Georgia (9-3, 5-3)
4. Vanderbilt (8-4, 4-4)
5. Tennessee (6-6, 3-5)
6. Missouri (6-6, 2-6)
7. Kentucky (4-8, 1-7)
West
1. Alabama (13-0, 8-0)
2. Texas A&M (9-3, 5-3)
3. LSU (9-3, 5-3)
4. Mississippi State (7-5, 4-4)
5. Ole Miss (7-5, 4-4)
6. Arkansas (5-7, 2-6)
7. Auburn (5-7, 1-7)

SEC Championship - Alabama over Florida

Offensive POY - Todd Gurley  RB/Georgia
Defensive POY - CJ Moseley  LB/Alabama
Game of the Year - 9/14, Alabama at Texas A&M

Mountain West
Mountain
1. Boise State (11-2, 7-1)
2. Utah State (7-5, 6-2)
3. Air Force (7-5, 5-3)
4. Wyoming (7-5, 4-4)
5. Colorado State (5-7, 4-4)
6. New Mexico (4-8, 2-6)
West
1. Fresno State (10-3, 6-2)
2. San Diego State (8-4, 6-2)
3. San Jose State (7-5, 5-3)
4. Nevada (3-9, 2-6)
5. UNLV (3-9, 1-7)
6. Hawaii (0-12, 0-8)

Mountain West Championship - Boise State over Fresno State

Offensive POY - Derek Carr  QB/Fresno State
Defensive POY - Derron Smith  S/Fresno State
Game of the Year - 9/20, Boise State at Fresno State

Conference USA
East
1. Marshall (9-4, 6-2)
2. East Carolina (7-5, 6-2)
3. Middle Tennessee (6-6, 5-3)
4. UAB (5-7, 4-4)
5. Florida Int'l (3-9, 2-6)
6. Southern Miss (2-10, 1-7)
7. Florida Atlantic (2-10, 1-7)
West
1. Tulsa (10-3, 7-1)
2. Rice (9-3, 6-2)
3. Louisiana Tech (8-4, 6-2)
4. UTEP (7-5, 4-4)
5. North Texas (5-7, 4-4)
6. Tulane (4-8, 2-6)
7. UTSA (2-10, 2-6)

Conference USA Championship - Tulsa over Marshall

Offensive POY - Rakeem Cato  QB/Marshall
Defensive POY - Cody Bauer  LB/Rice
Game of the Year - 11/14, Marshall at Tulsa

MAC
East
1. Ohio (9-4, 7-1)
2. Bowling Green (7-5, 6-2)
3. Kent State (7-5, 5-3)
4. Buffalo (5-7, 4-4)
5. Akron (5-7, 4-4)
6. Miami OH (1-11, 1-7)
7. UMass (1-11, 0-8)
West
1. Northern Illinois (11-2, 7-1)
2. Ball State (9-3, 6-2)
3. Toledo (7-5, 6-2)
4. Central Michigan (5-7, 4-4)
5. Western Michigan (3-9, 2-6)
6. Eastern Michigan (1-11, 0-8)

MAC Championship - Northern Illinois over Ohio

Offensive POY - Jordan Lynch  QB/Northern Illinois
Defensive POY - Gabe Martin  LB/Bowling Green
Game of the Year - 11/13, Ball State at Northern Illinois

Sun Belt
1. Western Kentucky (8-4, 6-1)
2. UL-Lafayette (8-4, 5-2)
3. UL-Monroe (6-6, 5-2)
4. Arkansas State (6-6, 4-3)
5. Troy (6-6, 4-3)
6. Texas State (4-8, 2-5)
7. South Alabama (3-9, 2-5)
8. Georgia State (3-9, 0-7)

Offensive POY - Kolton Browning  QB/UL-Monroe
Defensive POY - Isaiah Newsome  S/UL-Monroe
Game of the Year - 10/3, Western Kentucky at UL-Monroe

Independents
1. Notre Dame (9-3)
2. BYU (7-5)
3. Navy (6-6)
4. Army (3-9)
5. New Mexico State (2-10)
6. Idaho (1-11)