Wednesday, September 26, 2012

NCAA Football - Week 5 Predictions

Ringer's Record
Last Week ATS: 10-9
Last Week SU: 17-2

Season ATS: 36-49 (42%)
Season SU: 73-12 (86%)

It looks like I may finally be headed in the right direction. It wasn't a spectacular week, but I did have a winning record ATS at 10-9. There were plenty of fireworks last week as 4 games featured Top 25 matchups. I went 2-2 in those 4 games. This week's schedule doesn't bring as much excitement, but it is nice to see most conferences start conference play. This week's biggest matchup takes place in the struggling Big Ten. Ohio State heads to East Lansing to take on Michigan State. The Buckeyes are just 1 of 3 undefeated teams remaining in the Big Ten. Since they are ineligible for postseason play, I've also made them ineligible for the Ringer Poll. Michigan State is the highest ranked Big Ten team in this week's poll. Here is how I expect Week 4 of the college football season to unfold. (Rankings based on the Ringer Poll)

Mississippi Rebels       Alabama Crimson Tide
Ole Miss (+31) at 1 Alabama

Prediction - Alabama 26 Ole Miss 14

Oregon Ducks       Washington State Cougars
2 Oregon (-30.5) at Washington St.

Prediction - Oregon 45 Washington St. 19

Towson Tigers       LSU Tigers
Towson (+49.5) at 3 LSU

Prediction - LSU 40 Towson 7

Florida State Seminoles       South Florida Bulls
4 Florida St. (-17) at South Florida

Prediction - Florida St. 35 South Florida 17

Tennessee Volunteers       Georgia Bulldogs
Tennessee (+13) at 5 Georgia

Prediction - Georgia 35 Tennessee 20

South Carolina Gamecocks       Kentucky Wildcats
6 South Carolina (-20.5) at Kentucky

Prediction - South Carolina 34 Kentucky 10

Baylor Bears       West Virginia Mountaineers
23 Baylor (+11) at 7 West Virginia

Prediction - West Virginia 35 Baylor 30

Texas Longhorns       Oklahoma State Cowboys
10 Texas (-3) at Oklahoma St.

Prediction - Texas 35 Oklahoma St. 31

Stanford Cardinal       Washington Huskies
11 Stanford (-11.5) at Washington

Prediction - Stanford 24 Washington 19

TCU Horned Frogs       Southern Methodist Mustangs
14 TCU (-16) at SMU

Prediction - TCU 28 SMU 16

Clemson Tigers       Boston College Eagles
16 Clemson (-9.5) at Boston College

Prediction - Clemson 38 Boston College 27

Louisville Cardinals       Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
17 Louisville (-10.5) at Southern Miss

Prediction - Louisville 31 Southern Miss 13

Ohio State Buckeyes       Michigan State Spartans
Ohio St. (+2.5) at 18 Michigan St.

Prediction - Michigan St. 21 Ohio St. 20

Oregon State Beavers       Arizona Wildcats
19 Oregon St. (+2.5) at Arizona

Prediction - Oregon St. 34 Arizona 20

Wisconsin Badgers       Nebraska Cornhuskers
Wisconsin (+11.5) at 20 Nebraska

Prediction - Nebraska 38 Wisconsin 22

Boise State Broncos       New Mexico Lobos
22 Boise St. (-26) at New Mexico

Prediction - Boise St. 30 New Mexico 17

UCLA Bruins       Colorado Buffaloes
24 UCLA (-19.5) at Colorado

Prediction - UCLA 37 Colorado 26

NFL - Week 4 Predictions

Ringer's Record
Last Week ATS: 8-8
Last Week SU: 7-9

Season ATS: 22-26 (46%)
Season SU: 26-22 (54%)

What an unpredictable year it has been in the NFL so far. It took me 3 weeks just to get to .500 ATS, and I still haven't broken it. Although I will say I certainly deserved to have my first winning week as the referee debacle in Seattle is what dropped my record to 8-8 for the week. Reports shows that an estimated quarter billion dollars changed hands on that play. There is hope though. The real refs could potentially be back as early as tomorrow night. Let's hope so. With that maybe mu luck can change.  Here is a look at how I expect Week 4 to unfold.

Cleveland Browns       Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland (+12) at Baltimore

Prediction - Baltimore 31 Cleveland 17

Carolina Panthers       Atlanta Falcons
Carolina (+7.5) at Atlanta

Prediction - Atlanta 33 Carolina 14

New England Patriots       Buffalo Bills
New England (-4) at Buffalo

Prediction - New England 28 Buffalo 21

Minnesota Vikings       Detroit Lions
Minnesota (+4.5) at Detroit

Prediction - Minnesota 24 Detroit 23

San Diego Chargers       Kansas City Chiefs
San Diego (Even) at Kansas City

Prediction - Kansas City 27 San Diego 24

Seattle Seahawks       St. Louis Rams
Seattle (-3) at St. Louis

Prediction - Seattle 17 St. Louis 13

San Francisco 49ers       New York Jets
San Francisco (-4) at NY Jets

Prediction - San Francisco 19 NY Jets 17

Tennessee Titans       Houston Texans
Tennessee (+11.5) at Houston

Prediction - Houston 31 Tennessee 19

Oakland Raiders       Denver Broncos
Oakland (+6.5) at Denver

Prediction - Denver 28 Oakland 23

Miami Dolphins       Arizona Cardinals
Miami (+6.5) at Arizona

Prediction - Arizona 24 Miami 14

Cincinnati Bengals       Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati (-2.5) at Jacksonville

Prediction - Cincinnati 27 Jacksonville 20

New Orleans Saints       Green Bay Packers
New Orleans (+7.5) at Green Bay

Prediction - Green Bay 31 New Orleans 24

Washington Redskins       Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington (+3) at Tampa Bay

Prediction - Tampa Bay 20 Washington 19

New York Giants       Philadelphia Eagles
NY Giants (+2) at Philadelphia

Prediction - NY Giants 23 Philadelphia 14

Dallas Cowboys       Chicago Bears
Chicago (+3.5) at Dallas

Prediction - Chicago 22 Dallas 17

Bye Week - Indianapolis, Pittsburgh